The Jo-Jo Equation, Part 3 (with a Torii twist)
Due in large part to the Twins' unexpected success, it's been nearly 3 months since I last revisited the oft-maligned, oft-appreciated "Jo-Jo Equation," tracking the trade that sent away baseball's best southpaw to the Mets for four unprovens. Yet, after last night's 12-4 bludgeoning to the Pinstripes, it seemed sound timing to step away from the field and into some stats for a day. And while the trade seems ever in the rear view as an August playoff-push nears, I continue to believe the it remains important on multiple levels, perhaps most prominent among them the defining of the Bill "maybe I should add a few middle initials to my name to spice it up or something" Smith era as GM.
Here's the stat tracking equation presented in the previous posts:
-AAA Rochester Pitching: 1/2 point for a win, a strikeout, or a save. Hitting: 1/2 point for each total base, a stolen base, or an RBI. Fielding: 1/2 point for an assist, and a negative 1/2 point for an error.
-Below this level, all point totals are worth 1/3. (Even though the AA level is more about grooming the MLB prospects, rarely is the jump made from here to the Big Show).
-For all Major League numbers accrued, full points are awarded/deducted in the same areas.
And I've also continually added the caveat: "Now, there are no doubt another 589 statistical categories that could be implemented here to further examine and compare Santana with the 4 fellas now on our side -- but let's stick to the basics, I say, and see how the tally comes out."
That said, let's compare the numbers-
Johan Santana- Pitching: 8-7, 116 Strikeouts Fielding: 1 Error, 19 Assists Hitting: 5-39 (.128), 4 2B- 9 Total Bases
Carlos Gomez- Hitting: 21 Steals, 32 RBI, 98-397 (.247), 16 2B, 4 3B, 5 HR- 38 Total Bases Fielding: 6 Errors, 6 Assists
Twins Minor Leaguers AAA Rochester Philip Humber- Pitching: 4-7, 55 Strikeouts Fielding: 1 Error, 7 Assists
Kevin Mulvey- Pitching: 3-8, 82 Strikeouts Fielding: 3 Errors, 12 Assists
(High) A Fort Myers Deolis Guerra- Pitching: 10-4, 51 Strikeouts Fielding: 0 Error, 13 Assists
Santana: 151 Points
Our dudes: 297.5 Points
In addition today, it's worth a look at how Gomez compares to Torii Hunter in this regard:
Carlos Gomez- 190 Points
Torii Hunter- 219 Points Hitting: 10 Steals, 44 RBI, 97-356 (.272), 23 2B, 2 3B, 13 HR- 162 Total Bases Fielding: 0 error, 3 Assists
I find it notable that all teams involved herein are in either 1st or 2nd place in their respective divisions, just as it's perhaps equally worthy of mention that all players charted -- sans Guerra at A ball -- are have unspectacular seasons. Santana, while a solid 9th in NL ERA (3.10) and 8th in NL strikeouts (116), has gotten poor run support (4.89/ per 9 innings pitched; 113th in the NL alone) to contribute to his shitty 8-7 record. As a small caveat, however, I did think, given his unquestioned athleticism, that he'd have more than 5 hits in 20 games at this point. At .128, he's 36th among NL starters at the plate. Hell, back in '04, Santana had 3 hits in 2 games.
As per our AAA dudes, Humber and Mulvey may forever be connected in this town the way, say, Ryan Gomes, Al Jefferson and Sebastian Telfair are for the Wolves since the Garnett trade. Their combined 7-15 is just downright Bonser-ian, although Mulvey's 3.97 ERA and 1.37 WHIP speak toward an undeserved record. Humber, however, with an ERA just under 6, and a WHIP of 1.67 seems a long damn way from the Show considering the talent in front of him.
There was never any chance the Twins were going to match the $90 million Hunter got from L.A., so at $395,000 Gomez seemed a double-bonus until his summer swoon (.236 average in June, .154 in July; 5 steals since May 11th). Searching for a balance between entertaining and erratic, Gomez' season may best be described by simply stitching the surname of outfield-mate Delmon onto his own jersey. Hunter has been steady for L.A., steadily anchoring an Angel club that will no doubt compete for the Pennant.
As this year's July 31st deadline nears, trade winds of past swoon in our present, perhaps most aptly blown by the words of Joyce Carol Oates', "Where are you going? Where have you been?"
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